Interpretable Transformation and Analysis of Timelines through Learning via Surprisability
Journal:
arXiv
Published Date:
Mar 6, 2025
Abstract
The analysis of high-dimensional timeline data and the identification of
outliers and anomalies is critical across diverse domains, including sensor
readings, biological and medical data, historical records, and global
statistics. However, conventional analysis techniques often struggle with
challenges such as high dimensionality, complex distributions, and sparsity.
These limitations hinder the ability to extract meaningful insights from
complex temporal datasets, making it difficult to identify trending features,
outliers, and anomalies effectively. Inspired by surprisability -- a cognitive
science concept describing how humans instinctively focus on unexpected
deviations - we propose Learning via Surprisability (LvS), a novel approach for
transforming high-dimensional timeline data. LvS quantifies and prioritizes
anomalies in time-series data by formalizing deviations from expected behavior.
LvS bridges cognitive theories of attention with computational methods,
enabling the detection of anomalies and shifts in a way that preserves critical
context, offering a new lens for interpreting complex datasets. We demonstrate
the usefulness of LvS on three high-dimensional timeline use cases: a time
series of sensor data, a global dataset of mortality causes over multiple
years, and a textual corpus containing over two centuries of State of the Union
Addresses by U.S. presidents. Our results show that the LvS transformation
enables efficient and interpretable identification of outliers, anomalies, and
the most variable features along the timeline.