Benchmarking community drug response prediction models: datasets, models, tools, and metrics for cross-dataset generalization analysis
Journal:
arXiv
Published Date:
Mar 18, 2025
Abstract
Deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) models have shown promise in
drug response prediction (DRP), yet their ability to generalize across datasets
remains an open question, raising concerns about their real-world
applicability. Due to the lack of standardized benchmarking approaches, model
evaluations and comparisons often rely on inconsistent datasets and evaluation
criteria, making it difficult to assess true predictive capabilities. In this
work, we introduce a benchmarking framework for evaluating cross-dataset
prediction generalization in DRP models. Our framework incorporates five
publicly available drug screening datasets, six standardized DRP models, and a
scalable workflow for systematic evaluation. To assess model generalization, we
introduce a set of evaluation metrics that quantify both absolute performance
(e.g., predictive accuracy across datasets) and relative performance (e.g.,
performance drop compared to within-dataset results), enabling a more
comprehensive assessment of model transferability. Our results reveal
substantial performance drops when models are tested on unseen datasets,
underscoring the importance of rigorous generalization assessments. While
several models demonstrate relatively strong cross-dataset generalization, no
single model consistently outperforms across all datasets. Furthermore, we
identify CTRPv2 as the most effective source dataset for training, yielding
higher generalization scores across target datasets. By sharing this
standardized evaluation framework with the community, our study aims to
establish a rigorous foundation for model comparison, and accelerate the
development of robust DRP models for real-world applications.