Enhancing dengue diagnosis and surveillance by integrating machine learning technologies with the NS1 rapid test kit
Journal:
medRxiv
Published Date:
May 6, 2026
Abstract
Background. Dengue has been a major health threat globally in recent years. In particular, dengue incidences continue to increase annually and the epidemic area has expanded primarily due to global warming. Therefore, effective case detection and surveillance strategies are crucial to tackle this global health challenge. In clinical practice, the rapid test kit detecting dengue non-structural protein 1 antigen and commonly referred as NS1, is widely employed for early diagnosis. However, real-world studies revealed that the sensitivity of the NS1 test kit ranged from approximately 61% to 95%. Since early diagnosis is really critical for disease surveillance in the early stage of a dengue epidemic, scientists have been working hard to develop novel diagnosis methods that can provide higher sensitivity levels. Methodology/Principal Findings. In response to this challenge, in this study, we have developed a novel diagnosis procedure that integrates machine learning technologies with the NS1 test kit. Our experimental results revealed that we would be able to raise the sensitivity of the dengue diagnosis procedure to higher than 99% by incorporating machine learning based prediction models to screen the suspected patients with a negative NS1 result. Furthermore, the relative risks between the suspected patients who were predicted to be positive and those who were predicted to be negative exceeded 4.8. Conclusions/Significance. These results illustrate that the proposed approach provides an effective and efficient diagnosis procedure to address the global health challenge caused by spread of dengue.
