Intraventricular hemorrhage in preterm infants: A systematic review of risk- and outcome-prediction models.

Journal: Seminars in fetal & neonatal medicine
Published Date:

Abstract

Intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) is a major complication of prematurity and one of the top causes of mortality and neurodevelopmental impairment. We conducted a systematic review of PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science (From 1980 to 2025), identifying 40 studies evaluating prediction models (regression and machine learning) for risk of IVH occurrence and short- and long-term outcomes in preterm infants with IVH. Across these published studies, IVH risk prediction models included combinations of perinatal clinical variables, physiologic and hemodynamic indices, and serum biomarkers. Outcome-prediction models likewise varied. IVH grade was commonly included, with varying inclusion of comorbidities and neuroimaging-based injury markers. Most models performed acceptably, with machine-learning models showing better discrimination in larger datasets. However, the generalizability of the models is limited by heterogeneity in predictors, limited sample sizes, and inconsistent timing of predictor measurements. IVH severity remained the most consistent predictor across all outcome-prediction models. Despite promising performance assessments, clinical relevance is limited due to the infrequent reporting of model calibration, internal validation, and external validation. Future research that standardizes predictor definitions, leverages multicenter cohorts, and ensures thorough validation can advance early IVH risk and outcome-prediction models, thereby meaningfully improving clinical relevance and neonatal care.

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