Deep learning insights into spatial patterns of stable isotopes in Iran's precipitation: a novel approach to climatological mapping.

Journal: Isotopes in environmental and health studies
PMID:

Abstract

Stable isotope techniques are precise methods for studying various aspects of hydrology, such as precipitation characteristics. However, understanding the variations in the stable isotope content in precipitation is challenging in Iran due to numerous climatic and geographic factors. To address this, forty-two precipitation sampling stations were selected across Iran to assess the fractional importance of these climatic and geographic parameters influencing stable isotopes. Additionally, deep learning models were employed to simulate the stable isotope content, with missing data initially addressed using the predictive mean matching (PMM) method. Subsequently, the recursive feature elimination (RFE) technique was applied to identify influential parameters impacting Iran's precipitation stable isotope content. Following this, long short-term memory (LSTM) and deep neural network (DNN) models were utilized to predict stable isotope values in precipitation. Interpolated maps of these values across Iran were developed using inverse distance weighting (IDW), while an interpolated reconstruction error (RE) map was generated to quantify deviations between observed and predicted values at study stations, offering insights into model precision. Validation using evaluation metrics demonstrated that the model based on DNN exhibited higher accuracy. Furthermore, RE maps confirmed acceptable accuracy in simulating the stable isotope content, albeit with minor weaknesses observed in simulation maps. The methodology outlined in this study holds promise for application in regions worldwide characterized by diverse climatic conditions.

Authors

  • Mojtaba Heydarizad
    State Key Laboratory of Marine Geology, Tongji University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
  • Rogert Sori
    Environmental Physics Laboratory (EPhysLab), Centro de Investigación Mariña, Universidade de Vigo, Ourense, Spain.
  • Masoud Minaei
    Department of Geography, Faculty of Letters and Humanities, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran.
  • Hamid Ghalibaf Mohammadabadi
    Department of Computer Engineering, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran.
  • Elham Mahdipour
    Computer Engineering Department, Khavaran Institute of Higher Education, Mashhad, Iran.