Evaluation of factors associated with adult skeletal fluorosis in coal-burning type of endemic fluorosis and initial screening model based on machine learning in Guizhou, Southwest China.

Journal: Ecotoxicology and environmental safety
PMID:

Abstract

Skeletal fluorosis caused by coal-burning type endemic fluorosis greatly affects the health of the population in the affected areas, but large-scale diagnostic work is limited by human and material resources, making it difficult to implement comprehensively. In this study, we investigate adults in coal-burning type endemic skeletal fluorosis areas in Guizhou. The study areas are selected by a comprehensive analysis of the detection rate of dental fluorosis in children aged 8-12 years in Guizhou for the year 2023. We collect information from questionnaires, physical examinations, and diagnostic X-ray Findings of Skeletal Fluorosis (XRF) in adults. The effective number of people investigated in this study was 2276, and the detection rate of XRF was 79.35 %. The top 5 relevant factors for skeletal fluorosis were age, educational background, height, Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score and family population. Among the 8 models, random forest performed the best with an accuracy of 86.00 %, and the performance was more stable in the prevalence of different sizes, which provides a new idea for the prevention and treatment of skeletal fluorosis in coal-burning type of endemic fluorosis. In this study, the screening of the main correlates of XRF can provide an effective reference for the initial screening of skeletal fluorosis, and the practical application value of machine learning in this research field can be further explored.

Authors

  • Huiyi Shi
    School of Public Heath, The Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Monitoring and Disease Control, Ministry of Education, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, Guizhou 561113, China; Collaborative Innovation Center for Prevention and Control of Endemic and Ethnic Regional Diseases Co-constructed by the Province and Ministry, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang 561113, China.
  • Mingdan You
    School of Public Heath, The Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Monitoring and Disease Control, Ministry of Education, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, Guizhou 561113, China; Collaborative Innovation Center for Prevention and Control of Endemic and Ethnic Regional Diseases Co-constructed by the Province and Ministry, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang 561113, China.
  • Xuan Li
    College of Food and Bioengineering, Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang, China.
  • Boyou Zhang
    Guizhou Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang, Guizhou 550004, China.
  • Jing Gao
    Department of Gastroenterology 3, Hubei University of Medicine, Renmin Hospital, Shiyan, Hubei, China.
  • Demei Zhou
    Guizhou Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang, Guizhou 550004, China.
  • Ying Tu
    Guizhou Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang, Guizhou 550004, China.
  • Zihao Xia
    School of Public Heath, The Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Monitoring and Disease Control, Ministry of Education, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, Guizhou 561113, China; Collaborative Innovation Center for Prevention and Control of Endemic and Ethnic Regional Diseases Co-constructed by the Province and Ministry, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang 561113, China.
  • Jun Li
    Department of Emergency, Zhuhai Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine Hospital, Zhuhai, 519020, Guangdong Province, China. quanshabai43@163.com.
  • Guanghong Yang
    Guizhou Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang, Guizhou 550004, China.
  • Yining Liu
    School of Engineering, Faculty of Science, Health, Education and Engineering, University of the Sunshine Coast, Maroochydore DC, Queensland 4558, Australia.
  • Hongbing Ye
    Guizhou Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang, Guizhou 550004, China. Electronic address: 1292306596@qq.com.