Using machine learning techniques to develop forecasting algorithms for postoperative complications: protocol for a retrospective study.

Journal: BMJ open
Published Date:

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Mortality and morbidity following surgery are pressing public health concerns in the USA. Traditional prediction models for postoperative adverse outcomes demonstrate good discrimination at the population level, but the ability to forecast an individual patient's trajectory in real time remains poor. We propose to apply machine learning techniques to perioperative time-series data to develop algorithms for predicting adverse perioperative outcomes.

Authors

  • Bradley A Fritz
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, MO, 63110, USA.
  • Yixin Chen
    Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, MO, 63110, USA.
  • Teresa M Murray-Torres
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, Missouri, USA.
  • Stephen Gregory
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, MO, 63110, USA.
  • Arbi Ben Abdallah
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, MO, 63110, USA.
  • Alex Kronzer
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, Missouri, USA.
  • Sherry Lynn McKinnon
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, Missouri, USA.
  • Thaddeus Budelier
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, Missouri, USA.
  • Daniel L Helsten
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, Missouri, USA.
  • Troy S Wildes
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, Missouri, USA.
  • Anshuman Sharma
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, Missouri, USA.
  • Michael Simon Avidan
    Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, Missouri, USA.