Calibration: the Achilles heel of predictive analytics.

Journal: BMC medicine
Published Date:

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The assessment of calibration performance of risk prediction models based on regression or more flexible machine learning algorithms receives little attention.

Authors

  • Ben Van Calster
  • David J McLernon
    Medical Statistics Team, Institute of Applied Health Sciences, School of Medicine, Medical Sciences and Nutrition, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
  • Maarten van Smeden
    Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands.
  • Laure Wynants
    Maastricht University, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
  • Ewout W Steyerberg
    Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Centre, Albinusdreef 2, Leiden, 2333 ZA The Netherlands.