An Amazon stingless bee foraging activity predicted using recurrent artificial neural networks and attribute selection.

Journal: Scientific reports
PMID:

Abstract

Bees play a key role in pollination of crops and in diverse ecosystems. There have been multiple reports in recent years illustrating bee population declines worldwide. The search for more accurate forecast models can aid both in the understanding of the regular behavior and the adverse situations that may occur with the bees. It also may lead to better management and utilization of bees as pollinators. We address an investigation with Recurrent Neural Networks in the task of forecasting bees' level of activity taking into account previous values of level of activity and environmental data such as temperature, solar irradiance and barometric pressure. We also show how different input time windows, algorithms of attribute selection and correlation analysis can help improve the accuracy of our model.

Authors

  • Pedro A B Gomes
    Institute of Exact and Natural Sciences, Federal University of Pará, Belém, PA, 66075-110, Brazil.
  • Yoshihiko Suhara
    Recruit Institute of Technology, Mountain View - CA, United States of America.
  • Patrícia Nunes-Silva
    Instituto Tecnológico Vale, Belém, PA, 66055-090, Brazil.
  • Luciano Costa
    Instituto Tecnológico Vale, Belém, PA, 66055-090, Brazil.
  • Helder Arruda
    Instituto Tecnológico Vale, Belém, PA, 66055-090, Brazil.
  • Giorgio Venturieri
    Embrapa Amazônia Oriental, Belém, PA, 66095-903, Brazil.
  • Vera Lucia Imperatriz-Fonseca
    Instituto Tecnológico Vale, Belém, PA, 66055-090, Brazil.
  • Alex Pentland
    Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge - MA, United States of America.
  • Paulo de Souza
    Data61, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Sandy Bay, TAS, 7005, Australia.
  • Gustavo Pessin
    Applied Computing Lab, Vale Institute of Technology, Belem, Para, Brazil.