Predicting pregnancy test results after embryo transfer by image feature extraction and analysis using machine learning.

Journal: Scientific reports
Published Date:

Abstract

Assessing the viability of a blastosyst is still empirical and non-reproducible nowadays. We developed an algorithm based on artificial vision and machine learning (and other classifiers) that predicts pregnancy using the beta human chorionic gonadotropin (b-hCG) test from both the morphology of an embryo and the age of the patients. We employed two high-quality databases with known pregnancy outcomes (n = 221). We created a system consisting of different classifiers that is feed with novel morphometric features extracted from the digital micrographs, along with other non-morphometric data to predict pregnancy. It was evaluated using five different classifiers: probabilistic bayesian, Support Vector Machines (SVM), deep neural network, decision tree, and Random Forest (RF), using a k-fold cross validation to assess the model's generalization capabilities. In the database A, the SVM classifier achieved an F1 score of 0.74, and AUC of 0.77. In the database B the RF classifier obtained a F1 score of 0.71, and AUC of 0.75. Our results suggest that the system is able to predict a positive pregnancy test from a single digital image, offering a novel approach with the advantages of using a small database, being highly adaptable to different laboratory settings, and easy integration into clinical practice.

Authors

  • Alejandro Chavez-Badiola
    New Hope Fertility Center Mexico, Research and Development, Guadalajara, PC, 44630, Mexico. drchavez-badiola@nhfc.mx.
  • Adolfo Flores-Saiffe Farias
    New Hope Fertility Center Mexico, Research and Development, Guadalajara, PC, 44630, Mexico.
  • Gerardo Mendizabal-Ruiz
    Universidad de Guadalajara, Departamento de Ciencias Computacionales, Guadalajara, PC, 44430, Mexico.
  • Rodolfo Garcia-Sanchez
    New Hope Fertility Center Mexico, Research and Development, Guadalajara, PC, 44630, Mexico.
  • Andrew J Drakeley
    Hewitt Centre for Reproductive Medicine, Clinical Director, Liverpool, PC, L8 7SS, United Kingdom.
  • Juan Paulo Garcia-Sandoval
    Universidad de Guadalajara, Departamento de Ingeniería Química, Guadalajara, PC, 44430, Mexico.