Application of PSO-based LSTM Neural Network for Outpatient Volume Prediction.

Journal: Journal of healthcare engineering
Published Date:

Abstract

In order to study the construction method of long- and short-term memory neural network model, which is based on particle swarm optimization algorithm and its application in hospital outpatient management, we have selected historical data of outpatient volume of relevant departments in our hospital. Furthermore, we have designed and developed the outpatient volume prediction model, which is based on long- and short-term memory neural network. Additionally, we have used particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) to optimize various parameters of long- and short-term memory network and then utilized this optimized model to accurately predict the outpatient volume. Experimental observations, which are collected through the results of monthly outpatient volume prediction, show that Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of the particle swarm optimized LTMN model on the test set is reduced by 48.5% compared with the unoptimized model. The particle swarm optimization algorithm has efficiently optimized the prediction model, which makes the model better predict the trend of outpatient volume and thus provide decision support for medical staff's outpatient management.

Authors

  • Wenjing Lu
    Nursing Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University, Xi'an 710038, China.
  • Wei Jiang
    Department of Civil Engineering, Johns Hopkins System Institute, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland.
  • Na Zhang
    Department of Nutrition and Food Hygiene, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
  • Feng Xue
    Nursing Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University, Xi'an 710038, China.