Statistical machine learning models for prediction of China's maritime emergency patients in dynamic: ARIMA model, SARIMA model, and dynamic Bayesian network model.

Journal: Frontiers in public health
PMID:

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Rescuing individuals at sea is a pressing global public health issue, garnering substantial attention from emergency medicine researchers with a focus on improving prevention and control strategies. This study aims to develop a Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBN) model utilizing maritime emergency incident data and compare its forecasting accuracy to Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Seasonal Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models.

Authors

  • Pengyu Yang
    School of Information, Liaoning University, Shenyang, 110036, China.
  • Pengfei Cheng
    Department of Nursing, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
  • Na Zhang
    Department of Nutrition and Food Hygiene, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
  • Ding Luo
    Beijing Traditional Chinese Medicine Office for Cancer Prevention and Control, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Science, Beijing, China.
  • Baichao Xu
    Department of Physical Education, Hainan Medical University, Haikou, China.
  • Hua Zhang
    School of Clinical Medicine, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, China.