Two-step interpretable modeling of ICU-AIs.

Journal: Artificial intelligence in medicine
Published Date:

Abstract

We present a novel methodology for integrating high resolution longitudinal data with the dynamic prediction capabilities of survival models. The aim is two-fold: to improve the predictive power while maintaining the interpretability of the models. To go beyond the black box paradigm of artificial neural networks, we propose a parsimonious and robust semi-parametric approach (i.e., a landmarking competing risks model) that combines routinely collected low-resolution data with predictive features extracted from a convolutional neural network, that was trained on high resolution time-dependent information. We then use saliency maps to analyze and explain the extra predictive power of this model. To illustrate our methodology, we focus on healthcare-associated infections in patients admitted to an intensive care unit.

Authors

  • G Lancia
    Mathematics Department, Utrecht University, Budapestlaan, 6, Utrecht, 3584CD, The Netherlands. Electronic address: giacomo.lancia@gmail.com.
  • M R J Varkila
    Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Universiteitsweg 100, Utrecht, 3584 CG, The Netherlands.
  • O L Cremer
    Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Universiteitsweg 100, Utrecht, 3584 CG, The Netherlands.
  • C Spitoni
    Mathematics Department, Utrecht University, Budapestlaan, 6, Utrecht, 3584CD, The Netherlands.