Machine learning for enhancing prediction of biogas production and building a VFA/ALK soft sensor in full-scale dry anaerobic digestion of kitchen food waste.

Journal: Journal of environmental management
PMID:

Abstract

Based on operational data collected over 1.5 years from four full-scale dry anaerobic digesters used for kitchen food waste treatment, this study adopted eight typical machine learning algorithms to distinguish the best biogas prediction model and to develop a soft sensor based on the VFA/ALK ratio. Among all the eight tested models, the CatBoost (CB) algorithm demonstrated superior performance in terms of prediction accuracy and model fitting. Specifically, the CB model achieved a biogas production prediction accuracy (R) ranging from 0.604 to 0.915, and a VFA/ALK R between 0.618 and 0.768 on the test dataset. Furthermore, the feature importance analysis revealed that biomass amount into the dry anaerobic digester was the primary factor influencing biogas production. Chemical oxygen demand (COD) and free ammonia nitrogen (FAN) were identified as the most significant factors impacting the VFA/ALK indicator during dry anaerobic digestion, collectively contributing to nearly 50% of the influence. Overall, this study verifies the feasibility of using machine learning to predict biogas production in full-scale dry anaerobic digestion and provides a crucial foundation for monitoring the stability of dry anaerobic digesters.

Authors

  • Jinlin Zou
    State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tongji University, 1239 Siping Road, Shanghai, 200092, PR China; Institute of Waste Treatment and Reclamation, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200092, PR China; Shanghai Municipal Engineering Design Institute (Group) Co., Ltd, PR China.
  • Fan Lü
    Institute of Waste Treatment & Reclamation, College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China; Shanghai Institute of Pollution Control and Ecological Security, Shanghai 200092, China.
  • Long Chen
    Department of Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
  • Hua Zhang
    School of Clinical Medicine, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, China.
  • Pinjing He
    State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tongji University, 1239 Siping Road, Shanghai, 200092, PR China; Institute of Waste Treatment and Reclamation, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200092, PR China; Shanghai Institute of Pollution Control and Ecological Security, Shanghai, 200092, PR China. Electronic address: solidwaste@tongji.edu.cn.