Modeling and predicting caffeine contamination in surface waters using artificial intelligence and standard statistical methods.

Journal: Environmental monitoring and assessment
PMID:

Abstract

Caffeine, considered an emerging contaminant, serves as an indicator of anthropic influence on water resources. This research employs various modeling techniques, including Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Random Forest (RF), and more, along with hybrid and ensemble methods, to predict caffeine concentrations (in regression and classification scenarios) using readily available water quality parameters. The results indicate Ensemble-RF as the most effective method for estimating caffeine concentrations, while classification scenarios highlight Ensemble-RF, ANN, and Ensemble-ANN as promising methodologies for predicting contamination levels. This study offers a valuable tool for swiftly assessing caffeine contamination in water, leveraging easily obtainable data, with implications for safeguarding water resource systems.

Authors

  • Luis Otávio Miranda Peixoto
    Departament of Hydraulics and Sanitation, Universidade Federal Do Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil. luisotaviopeixoto@gmail.com.
  • Jorge Luis Gabriel Ferreira da Silva da Costa Pereira
    Department of Chemistry, CQC-IMS, , University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
  • Cristovão Vicente Scapulatempo Fernandes
    Departament of Hydraulics and Sanitation, Universidade Federal Do Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Jorge Antonio Silva Centeno
    Department of Geomatics, Universidade Federal Do Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Júlio César Rodrigues de Azevedo
    Department for Chemistry and Biology, Universidade Tecnológica Federal Do Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.