Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges.

Journal: Nature communications
PMID:

Abstract

Integrating prior epidemiological knowledge embedded within mechanistic models with the data-mining capabilities of artificial intelligence (AI) offers transformative potential for epidemiological modeling. While the fusion of AI and traditional mechanistic approaches is rapidly advancing, efforts remain fragmented. This scoping review provides a comprehensive overview of emerging integrated models applied across the spectrum of infectious diseases. Through systematic search strategies, we identified 245 eligible studies from 15,460 records. Our review highlights the practical value of integrated models, including advances in disease forecasting, model parameterization, and calibration. However, key research gaps remain. These include the need for better incorporation of realistic decision-making considerations, expanded exploration of diverse datasets, and further investigation into biological and socio-behavioral mechanisms. Addressing these gaps will unlock the synergistic potential of AI and mechanistic modeling to enhance understanding of disease dynamics and support more effective public health planning and response.

Authors

  • Yang Ye
    Wuxi Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Wuxi, China.
  • Abhishek Pandey
    Office of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, US Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, MD, United States.
  • Carolyn Bawden
    Department of Microbiology and Immunology, McGill University, Montréal, QC, Canada.
  • Dewan Md Sumsuzzman
    Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada.
  • Rimpi Rajput
    Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
  • Affan Shoukat
    Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Regina, Regina, SK, Canada.
  • Burton H Singer
    Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
  • Seyed M Moghadas
    Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada.
  • Alison P Galvani
    Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA. alison.galvani@yale.edu.