Evaluating the predictive performance of different data sources to forecast overdose deaths at the neighborhood level with machine learning in Rhode Island.

Journal: Preventive medicine
PMID:

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the predictive performance of different data sources to forecast fatal overdose in Rhode Island neighborhoods, with the goal of providing a template for other jurisdictions interested in predictive analytics to direct overdose prevention resources.

Authors

  • John C Halifax
    Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA. Electronic address: john_halifax@berkeley.edu.
  • Bennett Allen
    Center for Opioid Epidemiology and Policy, Department of Population Health, Grossman School of Medicine, New York University, New York, NY, USA.
  • Claire Pratty
    Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
  • Victoria Jent
    Center for Opioid Epidemiology and Policy, Department of Population Health, Grossman School of Medicine, New York University, New York, NY, USA.
  • Alexandra Skinner
    Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
  • Magdalena Cerdá
    Center for Opioid Epidemiology and Policy, Department of Population Health, Grossman School of Medicine, New York University, New York, NY, USA.
  • Brandon D L Marshall
    Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
  • Daniel B Neill
    Center for Urban Science and Progress, New York University, New York, NY, USA; Department of Computer Science, Courant Institute for Mathematical Sciences, New York University, New York, NY, USA; Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service, New York University, New York, NY, USA.
  • Jennifer Ahern
    Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.