Forecasting malaria cases using climate variability in Sierra Leone.

Journal: Malaria journal
Published Date:

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Malaria continues to pose a public health challenge in Sierra Leone, where timely and accurate forecasting can guide more effective interventions. Although seasonal models such as Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) have traditionally been employed for disease forecasting, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have gained attention for capturing complex temporal patterns that linear models may not fully capture.

Authors

  • Saidu Wurie Jalloh
    Department of Mathematics (Data Science Option), Pan African University Institute for Basic Sciences Technology and Innovation, Kiambu, 00200, Juja, Kenya. wurie.saidu@students.jkuat.ac.ke.
  • Boniface Malenje
    Department of Statistics and Actuarial Sciences, Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, Kiambu, Juja, Kenya.
  • Herbert Imboga
    Department of Statistics and Actuarial Sciences, Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, Kiambu, Juja, Kenya.
  • Mary H Hodges
    School of Community Health, Njala University, Bo, Sierra Leone.