AIMC Topic: Incidence

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Predictive modelling of air pollution affecting human tuberculosis risk on Mainland China.

Scientific reports
In this study, we investigated the correlation between air pollution indicators and pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) incidence and mortality rates across provincial administrative regions of China from January 2013 to December 2020 to develop predictive m...

Changes in Epidemiological Characteristics of Varicella and Breakthrough Cases in Ningbo, China, From 2010 to 2023: Surveillance Study.

JMIR public health and surveillance
BACKGROUND: Varicella is a prevalent respiratory infectious disease. Continuous monitoring is essential to understand evolving epidemiological patterns, particularly given the impact of vaccination and recent nonpharmacological interventions.

Machine-learning model for predicting left atrial thrombus in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation.

BMC cardiovascular disorders
OBJECTIVE: Left atrial thrombus (LAT) poses a significant risk for stroke and other thromboembolic complication in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This study aimed to evaluate the incidence and predictors of LAT in patients with paroxysmal AF...

Epidemiological association and machine learning-based prediction of lung cancer risk linked to long-term lagged satellite-derived PM in China.

Frontiers in public health
OBJECTIVES: This study investigated association between long-term PM exposure and lung cancer incidence, focusing on Jiangsu Province, China. We aimed to explore the effects of historical PM with time lags and build a prediction model using machine l...

Spatiotemporal patterns and climate-induced macroeconomic burden of malaria in sub-Saharan Africa.

BMC public health
BACKGROUND: The global malaria burden is characterized by economic, geographical, and climatic disparities, especially in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Moreover, meteorological factors have become increasingly important to understand the malaria burden i...

Associations of greenhouse gases, air pollutants and dynamics of scrub typhus incidence in China: a nationwide time-series study.

BMC public health
BACKGROUND: Environmental factors have been identified as significant risk factors for scrub typhus. However, the impact of inorganic compounds such as greenhouse gases and air pollutants on the incidence of scrub typhus has not been evaluated.

Forecasting malaria cases using climate variability in Sierra Leone.

Malaria journal
BACKGROUND: Malaria continues to pose a public health challenge in Sierra Leone, where timely and accurate forecasting can guide more effective interventions. Although seasonal models such as Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA)...

Global burden of vertebral fractures from 1990 to 2021 and projections for the next three decades.

Journal of orthopaedic surgery and research
BACKGROUND: Vertebral fractures are linked to significant disability and mortality risks. Yet, existing studies on their global burden are outdated and lack predictive foresight.

Global burden of non-melanoma skin cancers among older adults: a comprehensive analysis using machine learning approaches.

Scientific reports
Non-melanoma skin cancers (NMSCs), including basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), have shown significant global increases in burden, particularly among older adults, with wide regional, gender, and socio-demographic dispariti...