A Framework for Evaluating the Use of Surveillance Systems for Short-Term Influenza Forecasting.

Journal: Influenza and other respiratory viruses
Published Date:

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Public health surveillance systems need to monitor influenza activity and guide measures to mitigate its high impact on morbidity, mortality and healthcare systems. There is an increasing expectation that surveillance data will support the modeling of future short-term disease scenarios using artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML). This study examines how influenza surveillance can support AI/ML-based short-term forecasting for influenza at the community and hospital levels in a high-income country setting (Aotearoa/New Zealand).

Authors

  • Negin Maroufi
    University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
  • Lucy Telfar Barnard
    University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
  • Qiu Sue Huang
    University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
  • Gillian Dobbie
    University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
  • Nayyereh Aminisani
    Institute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand.
  • Steffen Albrecht
    Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, Biozentrum I, Hans-Dieter-Hüsch-Weg 15, 55128, Mainz, Germany.
  • Nhung Nghiem
    Department of Public Health, University of Otago, 23A Mein Street, Wellington 6021, New Zealand.
  • Michael G Baker
    Department of Public Health, University of Otago Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.