A New Approach for Construction of Geodemographic Segmentation Model and Prediction Analysis.

Journal: Computational intelligence and neuroscience
Published Date:

Abstract

Customer retention is invariably the top priority of all consumer businesses, and certainly it is one of the most critical challenges as well. Identifying and gaining insights into the most probable cause of churn can save from five to ten times in terms of cost for the company compared with finding new customers. Therefore, this study introduces a full-fledged geodemographic segmentation model, assessing it, testing it, and deriving insights from it. A bank dataset consisting 11,000 instances, which consists of 10,000 instances for training and 10,000 instances for testing, with 14 attributes, has been used, and the likelihood of a person staying with the bank or leaving the bank is computed with the help of logistic regression. Base on the proposed model, insights are drawn and recommendations are provided. Stepwise logistic regression methods, namely, backward elimination method, forward selection method, and bidirectional model are constructed and contrasted to choose the best among them. Future forecasting of the models has been done by using cumulative accuracy profile (CAP) curve analysis.

Authors

  • Hoang Viet Long
    Division of Computational Mathematics and Engineering, Institute for Computational Science, Ton Duc Thang University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
  • Le Hoang Son
    VNU University of Science Vietnam National University, Hanoi, Vietnam. sonlh@vnu.edu.vn.
  • Manju Khari
    Department of Computer Science and Engineering, AIACT&R, New Delhi, India.
  • Kanika Arora
    Department of Computer Science and Engineering, AIACT&R, New Delhi, India.
  • Siddharth Chopra
    Department of Computer Science and Engineering, AIACT&R, New Delhi, India.
  • Raghvendra Kumar
    Computer Science and Engineering Department, LNCT College, Bhopal, MP, India.
  • Tuong Le
    Digital Contents Research Institute, Sejong University, Seoul 143-747, Republic of Korea.
  • Sung Wook Baik
    College of Software and Convergence Technology, Department of Software, Sejong University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.