Research on the predictive effect of a combined model of ARIMA and neural networks on human brucellosis in Shanxi Province, China: a time series predictive analysis.

Journal: BMC infectious diseases
PMID: 33740904

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Brucellosis is a major public health problem that seriously affects developing countries and could cause significant economic losses to the livestock industry and great harm to human health. Reasonable prediction of the incidence is of great significance in controlling brucellosis and taking preventive measures.

Authors

  • Mengmeng Zhai
    Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, China.
  • Wenhan Li
    Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, China.
  • Ping Tie
    Endemic Disease Prevention and Control Section, Shanxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, China.
  • Xuchun Wang
    Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, China.
  • Tao Xie
    Department of Neurology, University of Chicago Medicine, Chicago, IL.
  • Hao Ren
    Department of Rheumatology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. Electronic address: renhao67@aliyun.com.
  • Zhuang Zhang
    Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, China.
  • Weimei Song
    Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, China.
  • Dichen Quan
    Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, China.
  • Meichen Li
    Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, China.
  • Limin Chen
    Shanxi Provincial Peoples Hospital, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, China. sxchenlimin@163.com.
  • Lixia Qiu
    Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, China. qlx_1126@163.com.

Keywords

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