A machine learning model for identifying patients at risk for wild-type transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy.

Journal: Nature communications
Published Date:

Abstract

Transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy, an often unrecognized cause of heart failure, is now treatable with a transthyretin stabilizer. It is therefore important to identify at-risk patients who can undergo targeted testing for earlier diagnosis and treatment, prior to the development of irreversible heart failure. Here we show that a random forest machine learning model can identify potential wild-type transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy using medical claims data. We derive a machine learning model in 1071 cases and 1071 non-amyloid heart failure controls and validate the model in three nationally representative cohorts (9412 cases, 9412 matched controls), and a large, single-center electronic health record-based cohort (261 cases, 39393 controls). We show that the machine learning model performs well in identifying patients with cardiac amyloidosis in the derivation cohort and all four validation cohorts, thereby providing a systematic framework to increase the suspicion of transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis in patients with heart failure.

Authors

  • Ahsan Huda
    Pfizer Inc., New York, NY, USA.
  • Adam CastaƱo
    Pfizer, Inc., New York, NY, USA.
  • Anindita Niyogi
    Pfizer, Inc., New York, NY, USA.
  • Jennifer Schumacher
    Pfizer, Inc., New York, NY, USA.
  • Michelle Stewart
    Pfizer, Inc., New York, NY, USA.
  • Marianna Bruno
    Pfizer, Inc., New York, NY, USA.
  • Mo Hu
    Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA.
  • Faraz S Ahmad
    Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
  • Rahul C Deo
    From the Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine; Cardiovascular Research Institute; Institute for Human Genetics; and Institute for Computational Health Sciences, University of California San Francisco, and California Institute for Quantitative Biosciences (R.C.D.); and VA Health Services Research and Development Center for Clinical Management Research, VA Ann Arbor Healthcare System, MI; Michigan Center for Health Analytics and Medical Prediction (M-CHAMP), Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor (B.K.N.). rahul.deo@ucsf.edu.
  • Sanjiv J Shah
    Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA.