Gradient boosted trees with individual explanations: An alternative to logistic regression for viability prediction in the first trimester of pregnancy.

Journal: Computer methods and programs in biomedicine
Published Date:

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Clinical models to predict first trimester viability are traditionally based on multivariable logistic regression (LR) which is not directly interpretable for non-statistical experts like physicians. Furthermore, LR requires complete datasets and pre-established variables specifications. In this study, we leveraged the internal non-linearity, feature selection and missing values handling mechanisms of machine learning algorithms, along with a post-hoc interpretability strategy, as potential advantages over LR for clinical modeling.

Authors

  • Thibaut Vaulet
    ESAT-STADIUS, Stadius Centre for Dynamical Systems, Signal Processing and Data Analytics (STADIUS), Leuven (Arenberg) Kasteelpark Arenberg 10 - box 2446, Leuven 3001, Belgium. Electronic address: thibaut.vaulet@esat.kuleuven.be.
  • Maya Al-Memar
    Tommy's National Early Miscarriage Research Centre, Queen Charlotte's and Chelsea Hospital, Imperial College, Du Cane Road, London W12 0HS, United Kingdom.
  • Hanine Fourie
    Tommy's National Early Miscarriage Research Centre, Queen Charlotte's and Chelsea Hospital, Imperial College, Du Cane Road, London W12 0HS, United Kingdom.
  • Shabnam Bobdiwala
    Tommy's National Early Miscarriage Research Centre, Queen Charlotte's and Chelsea Hospital, Imperial College, Du Cane Road, London W12 0HS, United Kingdom.
  • Srdjan Saso
    Tommy's National Early Miscarriage Research Centre, Queen Charlotte's and Chelsea Hospital, Imperial College, Du Cane Road, London W12 0HS, United Kingdom.
  • Maria Pipi
    Tommy's National Early Miscarriage Research Centre, Queen Charlotte's and Chelsea Hospital, Imperial College, Du Cane Road, London W12 0HS, United Kingdom.
  • Catriona Stalder
    Tommy's National Early Miscarriage Research Centre, Queen Charlotte's and Chelsea Hospital, Imperial College, Du Cane Road, London W12 0HS, United Kingdom.
  • Phillip Bennett
    Tommy's National Early Miscarriage Research Centre, Queen Charlotte's and Chelsea Hospital, Imperial College, Du Cane Road, London W12 0HS, United Kingdom.
  • Dirk Timmerman
  • Tom Bourne
    Department of Cancer and Surgery, Queen Charlotte's and Chelsea Hospital, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom.
  • Bart De Moor