An integrated 3D CNN-GRU deep learning method for short-term prediction of PM2.5 concentration in urban environment.

Journal: The Science of the total environment
Published Date:

Abstract

This study proposes a new model for the spatiotemporal prediction of PM concentration at hourly and daily time intervals. It has been constructed on a combination of three-dimensional convolutional neural network and gated recurrent unit (3D CNN-GRU). The performance of the proposed model is boosted by learning spatial patterns from similar air quality (AQ) stations while maintaining long-term temporal dependencies with simultaneous learning and prediction for all stations over different time intervals. 3D CNN-GRU model was applied to air pollution observations, especially PM level, collected from several AQ stations across the city of Tehran, the capital of Iran, from 2016 to 2019. It could achieve promising results compared to the methods such as LSTM, GRU, ANN, SVR, and ARIMA, which are recently introduced in the literature; it estimates 84% (R = 0.84) and 78% (R = 0.78) of PM concentration variations for the next hour and the following day, respectively.

Authors

  • Marjan Faraji
    Department of Geomatics Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Transportation, University of Isfahan, HezarJerib St., Isfahan 81746-73441, Iran. Electronic address: farajimarjan50@gmail.com.
  • Saeed Nadi
    Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carleton University, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6, Canada. Electronic address: saeed.nadi@carleton.ca.
  • Omid Ghaffarpasand
    School of Geography, Earth, and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK. Electronic address: o.ghaffarpasand@bham.ac.uk.
  • Saeid Homayoni
    Centre Eau Terre Environnement, Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique, Québec, QC G1K 9A9, Canada. Electronic address: Saeid.Homayouni@inrs.ca.
  • Kay Downey
    School of Geography, Earth, and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK.