Glucose trajectory prediction by deep learning for personal home care of type 2 diabetes mellitus: modelling and applying.

Journal: Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE
PMID:

Abstract

Glucose management for people with type 2 diabetes mellitus is essential but challenging due to the multi-factored and chronic disease nature of diabetes. To control glucose levels in a safe range and lessen abnormal glucose variability efficiently and economically, an intelligent prediction of glucose is demanding. A glucose trajectory prediction system based on subcutaneous interstitial continuous glucose monitoring data and deep learning models for ensuing glucose trajectory was constructed, followed by the application of personalised prediction models on one participant with type 2 diabetes in a community. The predictive accuracy was then assessed by RMSE (root mean square error) using blood glucose data. Changes in glycaemic parameters of the participant before and after model intervention were also compared to examine the efficacy of this intelligence-aided health care. Individual Recurrent Neural Network model was developed on glucose data, with an average daily RMSE of 1.59 mmol/L in the application segment. In terms of the glucose variation, the mean glucose decreased by 0.66 mmol/L, and HBGI dropped from 12.99 × 10 to 9.17 × 10. However, the participant also had increased stress, especially in eating and social support. Our research presented a personalised care system for people with diabetes based on deep learning. The intelligence-aided health management system is promising to enhance the outcome of diabetic patients, but further research is also necessary to decrease stress in the intelligence-aided health management and investigate the stress impacts on diabetic patients.

Authors

  • Lingmin Lin
    School of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
  • Kailai Liu
    College of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
  • Huan Feng
    School of Medical Humanities, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
  • Jing Li
    Department of Neurosurgery, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China.
  • Hengle Chen
    School of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
  • Tao Zhang
    Department of Traumatology, Chongqing Emergency Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital, School of Medicine, Chongqing University, Chongqing, 40044, People's Republic of China.
  • Boyun Xue
    School of Biomedical Engineering and Technology, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
  • Jiarui Si
    School of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.