Explainable Artificial Intelligence Helps in Understanding the Effect of Fibronectin on Survival of Sepsis.

Journal: Cells
PMID:

Abstract

Fibronectin (FN) plays an essential role in the host's response to infection. In previous studies, a significant decrease in the FN level was observed in sepsis; however, it has not been clearly elucidated how this parameter affects the patient's survival. To better understand the relationship between FN and survival, we utilized innovative approaches from the field of explainable machine learning, including local explanations (Break Down, Shapley Additive Values, Ceteris Paribus), to understand the contribution of FN to predicting individual patient survival. The methodology provides new opportunities to personalize informative predictions for patients. The results showed that the most important indicators for predicting survival in sepsis were INR, FN, age, and the APACHE II score. ROC curve analysis showed that the model's successful classification rate was 0.92, its sensitivity was 0.92, its positive predictive value was 0.76, and its accuracy was 0.79. To illustrate these possibilities, we have developed and shared a web-based risk calculator for exploring individual patient risk. The web application can be continuously updated with new data in order to further improve the model.

Authors

  • Anna Lemańska-Perek
    Department of Chemistry and Immunochemistry, Wroclaw Medical University, M. Sklodowskiej-Curie 48/50, 50-369 Wroclaw, Poland.
  • Dorota Krzyżanowska-Gołąb
    Department of Chemistry and Immunochemistry, Wroclaw Medical University, M. Sklodowskiej-Curie 48/50, 50-369 Wroclaw, Poland.
  • Katarzyna Kobylińska
    Faculty of Mathematics, Informatics and Mechanics, University of Warsaw, Banacha 2, 02-097 Warsaw, Poland.
  • Przemysław Biecek
    Faculty of Mathematics, Informatics and Mechanics, University of Warsaw, Banacha 2, 02-097 Warsaw, Poland.
  • Tomasz Skalec
    Clinical Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Therapy, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland.
  • Maciej Tyszko
    Clinical Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Therapy, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland.
  • Waldemar Gozdzik
    Clinical Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Therapy, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland.
  • Barbara Adamik
    Clinical Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Therapy, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland.