Uncertainty estimation for deep learning-based pectoral muscle segmentation via Monte Carlo dropout.

Journal: Physics in medicine and biology
Published Date:

Abstract

. Deep Learning models are often susceptible to failures after deployment. Knowing when your model is producing inadequate predictions is crucial. In this work, we investigate the utility of Monte Carlo (MC) dropout and the efficacy of the proposed uncertainty metric (UM) for flagging of unacceptable pectoral muscle segmentations in mammograms.. Segmentation of pectoral muscle was performed with modified ResNet18 convolutional neural network. MC dropout layers were kept unlocked at inference time. For each mammogram, 50 pectoral muscle segmentations were generated. The mean was used to produce the final segmentation and the standard deviation was applied for the estimation of uncertainty. From each pectoral muscle uncertainty map, the overall UM was calculated. To validate the UM, a correlation between the dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and UM was used. The UM was first validated in a training set (200 mammograms) and finally tested in an independent dataset (300 mammograms). ROC-AUC analysis was performed to test the discriminatory power of the proposed UM for flagging unacceptable segmentations.. The introduction of dropout layers in the model improved segmentation performance (DSC = 0.95 ± 0.07 versus DSC = 0.93 ± 0.10). Strong anti-correlation (= -0.76,< 0.001) between the proposed UM and DSC was observed. A high AUC of 0.98 (97% specificity at 100% sensitivity) was obtained for the discrimination of unacceptable segmentations. Qualitative inspection by the radiologist revealed that images with high UM are difficult to segment.. The use of MC dropout at inference time in combination with the proposed UM enables flagging of unacceptable pectoral muscle segmentations from mammograms with excellent discriminatory power.

Authors

  • Zan Klanecek
    University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Medical Physics, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
  • Tobias Wagner
    KU Leuven, Department of Imaging and Pathology, Division of Medical Physics & Quality Assessment, Leuven, Belgium.
  • Yao-Kuan Wang
    KU Leuven, Department of Imaging and Pathology, Division of Medical Physics & Quality Assessment, Leuven, Belgium.
  • Lesley Cockmartin
    UZ Leuven, Department of Radiology, Leuven, Belgium.
  • Nicholas Marshall
    KU Leuven, Department of Imaging and Pathology, Division of Medical Physics & Quality Assessment, Leuven, Belgium.
  • Brayden Schott
    Department of Radiation Oncology, Washington University School of Medicine, 4921 Parkview Place, Campus Box 8224, St. Louis, MO, 63110, USA.
  • Ali Deatsch
    University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Medical Physics, Madison, United States of America.
  • Andrej Studen
    University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Medical Physics, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
  • Kristijana Hertl
    Institute of Oncology Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
  • Katja Jarm
    Institute of Oncology Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
  • Mateja Krajc
    Institute of Oncology Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
  • Miloš Vrhovec
    Institute of Oncology Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
  • Hilde Bosmans
    Department of Imaging & Pathology, Biomedical Sciences Group, Catholic University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
  • Robert Jeraj