Enhancing the diagnosis of functionally relevant coronary artery disease with machine learning.

Journal: Nature communications
PMID:

Abstract

Functionally relevant coronary artery disease (fCAD) can result in premature death or nonfatal acute myocardial infarction. Its early detection is a fundamentally important task in medicine. Classical detection approaches suffer from limited diagnostic accuracy or expose patients to possibly harmful radiation. Here we show how machine learning (ML) can outperform cardiologists in predicting the presence of stress-induced fCAD in terms of area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC: 0.71 vs. 0.64, p = 4.0E-13). We present two ML approaches, the first using eight static clinical variables, whereas the second leverages electrocardiogram signals from exercise stress testing. At a target post-test probability for fCAD of <15%, ML facilitates a potential reduction of imaging procedures by 15-17% compared to the cardiologist's judgement. Predictive performance is validated on an internal temporal data split as well as externally. We also show that combining clinical judgement with conventional ML and deep learning using logistic regression results in a mean AUROC of 0.74.

Authors

  • Christian Bock
    Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zürich, Basel, Switzerland.
  • Joan Elias Walter
    Cardiovascular Research Institute Basel, University Hospital of Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
  • Bastian Rieck
    Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zürich, Basel, Switzerland.
  • Ivo Strebel
    Department of Cardiology, Cardiovascular Research Institute Basel, University Hospital Basel and University of Basel, Petersgraben 4, 4031 Basel, Switzerland.
  • Klara Rumora
    Cardiovascular Research Institute Basel, University Hospital of Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
  • Ibrahim Schaefer
    Cardiovascular Research Institute Basel, University Hospital of Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
  • Michael J Zellweger
    Cardiovascular Research Institute Basel, University Hospital of Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
  • Karsten Borgwardt
    Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zurich, Basel, Switzerland.
  • Christian Müller
    Department of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering Chalmers University of Technology Göteborg 412 96, Sweden.