Intelligent alert system for predicting invasive mechanical ventilation needs via noninvasive parameters: employing an integrated machine learning method with integration of multicenter databases.

Journal: Medical & biological engineering & computing
PMID:

Abstract

The use of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) is crucial in rescuing patients with respiratory dysfunction. Accurately predicting the demand for IMV is vital for clinical decision-making. However, current techniques are invasive and challenging to implement in pre-hospital and emergency rescue settings. To address this issue, a real-time prediction method utilizing only non-invasive parameters was developed to forecast IMV demand in this study. The model introduced the concept of real-time warning and leveraged the advantages of machine learning and integrated methods, achieving an AUC value of 0.935 (95% CI 0.933-0.937). The AUC value for the multi-center validation using the AmsterdamUMCdb database was 0.727, surpassing the performance of traditional risk adjustment algorithms (OSI(oxygenation saturation index): 0.608, P/F(oxygenation index): 0.558). Feature weight analysis demonstrated that BMI, Gcsverbal, and age significantly contributed to the model's decision-making. These findings highlight the substantial potential of a machine learning real-time dynamic warning model that solely relies on non-invasive parameters to predict IMV demand. Such a model can provide technical support for predicting the need for IMV in pre-hospital and disaster scenarios.

Authors

  • Guang Zhang
    Department of Health Management, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Jinan, China.
  • Qingyan Xie
    School of Life Sciences, Tiangong University, Tianjin, 300387, China.
  • Chengyi Wang
    School of Life Sciences, Tiangong University, 399 Binshui West Road, Tianjin 300387, China.
  • JiaMeng Xu
    Institute of Medical Support, Academy of Military Sciences, Tianjin, China.
  • Guanjun Liu
    School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China; Hubei Provincial Key Laboratory of Digital Watershed Science and Technology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China.
  • Chen Su
    Systems Engineering Institute, People's Liberation Army, Academy of Military Sciences, Tianjin, 300161, China. suchen_wqs@126.com.