Artificial intelligence applied to bed regulation in Rio Grande do Norte: Data analysis and application of machine learning on the "RegulaRN Leitos Gerais" platform.

Journal: PloS one
PMID:

Abstract

Bed regulation within Brazil's National Health System (SUS) plays a crucial role in managing care for patients in need of hospitalization. In Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil, the RegulaRN Leitos Gerais platform was the information system developed to register requests for bed regulation for COVID-19 cases. However, the platform was expanded to cover a range of diseases that require hospitalization. This study explored different machine learning models in the RegulaRN database, from October 2021 to January 2024, totaling 47,056 regulations. From the data obtained, 12 features were selected from the 24 available. After that, blank and inconclusive data were removed, as well as the outcomes that had values other than discharge and death, rendering a binary classification. Data was also correlated, balanced, and divided into training and test portions for application in machine learning models. The results showed better accuracy (87.77%) and recall (87.77%) for the XGBoost model, and higher precision (87.85%) and F1-Score (87.56%) for the Random Forest and Gradient Boosting models, respectively. As for Specificity (82.94%) and ROC-AUC (82.13%), the Multilayer Perceptron with SGD optimizer obtained the highest scores. The results evidenced which models could adequately assist medical regulators during the decision-making process for bed regulation, enabling even more effective regulation and, consequently, greater availability of beds and a decrease in waiting time for patients.

Authors

  • Tiago de Oliveira Barreto
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Fernando Lucas de Oliveira Farias
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Nícolas Vinícius Rodrigues Veras
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Pablo Holanda Cardoso
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Gleyson José Pinheiro Caldeira Silva
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Chander de Oliveira Pinheiro
    Secretary of Public Health of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Maria Valéria Bezerra Medina
    Secretary of Public Health of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Felipe Ricardo Dos Santos Fernandes
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Ingridy Marina Pierre Barbalho
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Lyane Ramalho Cortez
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • João Paulo Queiroz Dos Santos
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Antonio Higor Freire de Morais
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Gustavo Fontoura de Souza
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Guilherme Medeiros Machado
    LyRIDS, ECE-Engineering School, Paris, France.
  • Márcia Jacyntha Nunes Rodrigues Lucena
    Department of Informatics and Applied Mathematics, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.
  • Ricardo Alexsandro de Medeiros Valentim
    Laboratory of Technological Innovation in Health (LAIS), Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil.