Performance of Clinical Risk Prediction Models for Post-ERCP Pancreatitis: A Systematic Review.

Journal: Pancreas
Published Date: Aug 1, 2025

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: Pancreatitis is common following endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). Despite increased vigilance of post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP), both its incidence and associated mortality are rising. Risk prediction models may provide more accurate stratification of patient risk and proactive mitigation of PEP incidence and/or severe associated outcomes.

Authors

  • Nasruddin Sabrie
    Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Toronto, Toronto.
  • Gurjot Minhas
    Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario.
  • Marcus Vaska
    Knowledge Resource Service, Alberta Health Services.
  • Zhao Wu Meng
    Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology.
  • Darren R Brenner
    Department of Oncology and Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, AB, Canada.
  • Nauzer Forbes
    Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology.

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