An inexact multistage fuzzy-stochastic programming for regional electric power system management constrained by environmental quality.

Journal: Environmental science and pollution research international
Published Date:

Abstract

Electric power system involves different fields and disciplines which addressed the economic system, energy system, and environment system. Inner uncertainty of this compound system would be an inevitable problem. Therefore, an inexact multistage fuzzy-stochastic programming (IMFSP) was developed for regional electric power system management constrained by environmental quality. A model which concluded interval-parameter programming, multistage stochastic programming, and fuzzy probability distribution was built to reflect the uncertain information and dynamic variation in the case study, and the scenarios under different credibility degrees were considered. For all scenarios under consideration, corrective actions were allowed to be taken dynamically in accordance with the pre-regulated policies and the uncertainties in reality. The results suggest that the methodology is applicable to handle the uncertainty of regional electric power management systems and help the decision makers to establish an effective development plan.

Authors

  • Zhenghui Fu
    College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China.
  • Han Wang
    Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University Health System, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
  • Wentao Lu
    College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China.
  • Huaicheng Guo
    College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China.
  • Wei Li
    Department of Nephrology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.