Calibration drift in regression and machine learning models for acute kidney injury.

Journal: Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA
Published Date:

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Predictive analytics create opportunities to incorporate personalized risk estimates into clinical decision support. Models must be well calibrated to support decision-making, yet calibration deteriorates over time. This study explored the influence of modeling methods on performance drift and connected observed drift with data shifts in the patient population.

Authors

  • Sharon E Davis
    Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN.
  • Thomas A Lasko
    Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN.
  • Guanhua Chen
    Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN.
  • Edward D Siew
    Department of Nephrology, Nephrology Vanderbilt O'Brien Center for Kidney Disease, Nashville, TN, United States.
  • Michael E Matheny
    Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN.