A Benchmarking Between Deep Learning, Support Vector Machine and Bayesian Threshold Best Linear Unbiased Prediction for Predicting Ordinal Traits in Plant Breeding.

Journal: G3 (Bethesda, Md.)
PMID:

Abstract

Genomic selection is revolutionizing plant breeding. However, still lacking are better statistical models for ordinal phenotypes to improve the accuracy of the selection of candidate genotypes. For this reason, in this paper we explore the genomic based prediction performance of two popular machine learning methods: the Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP) and support vector machine (SVM) methods the Bayesian threshold genomic best linear unbiased prediction (TGBLUP) model. We used the percentage of cases correctly classified (PCCC) as a metric to measure the prediction performance, and seven real data sets to evaluate the prediction accuracy, and found that the best predictions (in four out of the seven data sets) in terms of PCCC occurred under the TGLBUP model, while the worst occurred under the SVM method. Also, in general we found no statistical differences between using 1, 2 and 3 layers under the MLP models, which means that many times the conventional neuronal network model with only one layer is enough. However, although even that the TGBLUP model was better, we found that the predictions of MLP and SVM were very competitive with the advantage that the SVM was the most efficient in terms of the computational time required.

Authors

  • Osval A Montesinos-López
    Facultad de Telemática oamontes1@ucol.mx j.crossa@cgiar.org.
  • Javier Martín-Vallejo
    Departamento de Estadística, Universidad de Salamanca, c/Espejo 2, Salamanca, 37007, España.
  • José Crossa
    Biometrics and Statistics Unit (BSU), International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), Apdo Postal 6-641, México DF, 06600 24105, México. j.crossa@cgiar.org.
  • Daniel Gianola
    Department of Animal Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, 53706, USA. gianola@ansci.wisc.edu.
  • Carlos M Hernández-Suárez
    Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Colima, Colima, Colima, 28040, México.
  • Abelardo Montesinos-López
    Departamento de Matemáticas, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Exactas e Ingenierías (CUCEI), Universidad de Guadalajara, 44430, Guadalajara, Jalisco, México.
  • Philomin Juliana
    International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), Apdo. Postal 6-641, 06600, Ciudad de México, México.
  • Ravi Singh
    International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), Apdo. Postal 6-641, 06600, Ciudad de México, México.