Use of Multiprognostic Index Domain Scores, Clinical Data, and Machine Learning to Improve 12-Month Mortality Risk Prediction in Older Hospitalized Patients: Prospective Cohort Study.

Journal: Journal of medical Internet research
Published Date:

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) is an aggregate, comprehensive, geriatric assessment scoring system derived from eight domains that predict adverse outcomes, including 12-month mortality. However, the prediction accuracy of using the three MPI categories (mild, moderate, and severe risk) was relatively poor in a study of older hospitalized Australian patients. Prediction modeling using the component domains of the MPI together with additional clinical features and machine learning (ML) algorithms might improve prediction accuracy.

Authors

  • Richard John Woodman
    Flinders Health and Medical Research Institute, College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
  • Kimberley Bryant
    College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia.
  • Michael J Sorich
    Flinders Health and Medical Research Institute, College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
  • Alberto Pilotto
    Department of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, Frailty Area, E.O. Galliera Hospital, National Relevance & High Specialization Hospital, Genoa, Italy.
  • Arduino Aleksander Mangoni
    Flinders Health and Medical Research Institute, College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, Australia.