Predicting Divorce Prospect Using Ensemble Learning: Support Vector Machine, Linear Model, and Neural Network.

Journal: Computational intelligence and neuroscience
PMID:

Abstract

A divorce is a legal step taken by married people to end their marriage. It occurs after a couple decides to no longer live together as husband and wife. Globally, the divorce rate has more than doubled from 1970 until 2008, with divorces per 1,000 married people rising from 2.6 to 5.5. Divorce occurs at a rate of 16.9 per 1,000 married women. According to the experts, over half of all marriages ends in divorce or separation in the United States. A novel ensemble learning technique based on advanced machine learning algorithms is proposed in this study. The support vector machine (SVM), passive aggressive classifier, and neural network (MLP) are applied in the context of divorce prediction. A question-based dataset is created by the field specialist. The responses to the questions provide important information about whether a marriage is likely to turn into divorce in the future. The cross-validation is applied in 5 folds, and the performance results of the evaluation metrics are examined. The accuracy score is 100%, and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve accuracy score, recall score, the precision score, and the F1 accuracy score are close to 97% confidently. Our findings examined the key indicators for divorce and the factors that are most significant when predicting the divorce.

Authors

  • Mian Muhammad Sadiq Fareed
    Department of Software Engineering, University of Central, Punjab 54000, 1-Khayaban-e-Jinnah Road, Johar Town, Lahore, Pakistan.
  • Ali Raza
    Department of Medical Microbiology and Clinical Microbiology, Near East University, Cyprus.
  • Na Zhao
    Department of Gynecology, Peking University First Hospital Ningxia Women and Children's Hospital, Yinchuan, Ningxia, China.
  • Aqil Tariq
    State Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying Mapping and Remote Sensing, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China.
  • Faizan Younas
    Department of Computer Science, Khwaja Fareed University of Engineering and Information Technology, Rahim Yar Khan 64200, Pakistan.
  • Gulnaz Ahmed
    Department of Computer Science, Khwaja Fareed University of Engineering and Information Technology, Rahim Yar Khan 64200, Pakistan.
  • Saleem Ullah
    Faculty of Computer Science and Information Technology, Khawaja Fareed University of Engineering and Information Technology, Rahim Yar Khan 64200, Pakistan.
  • Syeda Fizzah Jillani
    Department of Physics, Physical Sciences Building, Aberystwyth University, Aberystwyth SY23, UK.
  • Irfan Abbas
    School of Agricultural Equipment Engineering, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China.
  • Muhammad Aslam
    Department of Chemical Engineering, COMSATS University Islamabad, Lahore Campus, Defense Road, Off Raiwind Road, Lahore, Pakistan.