Application of kNN and SVM to predict the prognosis of advanced schistosomiasis.

Journal: Parasitology research
Published Date:

Abstract

Predictive models for prognosis of small sample advanced schistosomiasis patients have not been well studied. We aimed to construct prognostic predictive models of small sample advanced schistosomiasis patients using two machine learning algorithms, k nearest neighbour (kNN) and support vector machine (SVM) utilising routinely available data under the government medical assistance programme. The predictive models were derived from 229 patients from Xiantao and externally validated by 77 patients of Jiayu, two county-level cities in Hubei province, China. Candidate predictors were selected according to expert opinions and literature reports, including clinical features, sociodemographic characteristics, and medical examinations results. An area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the models' predictive performances. The AUC values were 0.879 for the kNN model and 0.890 for the SVM model in the training set, 0.852 for the kNN model, and 0.785 for the SVM model in the external validation set. The kNN and SVM models can be used to improve the health services provided by healthcare planners, clinicians, and policymakers.

Authors

  • Xiaorong Zhou
    Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 6 Zhuodaoquan North Road, Wuhan, 430079, Hubei, China.
  • He Wang
    Department of Neurosurgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, China International Neuroscience Institute, Beijing, China.
  • Chuan Xu
    Department of Thoracic Surgery, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, No. 83, Zhongshan East Road, Guiyang, , Guizhou, China. xuchuan89757@163.com.
  • Li Peng
    School of Internet of Things Engineering, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China. pengli@jiangnan.edu.cn.
  • Feng Xu
    Orthopedics Department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
  • Lifei Lian
    Department of Neurology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, 1095 Jiefang Avenue, Wuhan, 430030, Hubei, China.
  • Gang Deng
    Center of Interventional Radiology & Vascular Surgery, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, 87 Dingjiaqiao Road, Nanjing 210009, China.
  • Suqiong Ji
    Department of Neurology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, 1095 Jiefang Avenue, Wuhan, 430030, Hubei, China.
  • Mengyan Hu
    Public Health School, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, 13 Hangkong Road, Wuhan, 430030, Hubei, China.
  • Hong Zhu
    Co-Innovation Center for the Sustainable Forestry in Southern China; Cerasus Research Center; College of Biology and the Environment, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing, China.
  • Yi Xu
    School of Food and Biological Engineering, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, PR China.
  • Guo Li
    School of Optical and Electronic Information-Wuhan National Laboratory for Optoelectronics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.