Accuracies of Training Labels and Machine Learning Models: Experiments on Delirium and Simulated Data.

Journal: Studies in health technology and informatics
Published Date:

Abstract

Supervised predictive models require labeled data for training purposes. Complete and accurate labeled data is not always available, and imperfectly labeled data may need to serve as an alternative. An important question is if the accuracy of the labeled data creates a performance ceiling for the trained model. In this study, we trained several models to recognize the presence of delirium in clinical documents using data with annotations that are not completely accurate. In the external evaluation, the support vector machine model with a linear kernel performed best, achieving an area under the curve of 89.3% and accuracy of 88%, surpassing the 80% accuracy of the training sample. We then generated a set of simulated data and carried out a series of experiments which demonstrated that models trained on imperfect data can (but do not always) outperform the accuracy of the training data.

Authors

  • Yan Cheng
    The First Clinical Medical College of Shaanxi University of Chinese Medicine, Xianyang, China.
  • Yijun Shao
    Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Washington, DC; George Washington University, Washington, DC.
  • James Rudolph
    Providence VA Medical Center, Providence, RI, USA.
  • Charlene R Weir
    University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; VA Salt Lake City Health Care System, Salt Lake City, UT.
  • Beth Sahlmann
    Office of Analytics and Performance Integration, Veterans Health Administration, Fort Myers, FL, USA.
  • Qing Zeng-Treitler
    Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Washington, DC; George Washington University, Washington, DC.