Predicting heart failure in-hospital mortality by integrating longitudinal and category data in electronic health records.

Journal: Medical & biological engineering & computing
Published Date:

Abstract

Heart failure is a life-threatening syndrome that is diagnosed in 3.6 million people worldwide each year. We propose a deep fusion learning model (DFL-IMP) that uses time series and category data from electronic health records to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with heart failure. We considered 41 time series features (platelets, white blood cells, urea nitrogen, etc.) and 17 category features (gender, insurance, marital status, etc.) as predictors, all of which were available within the time of the patient's last hospitalization, and a total of 7696 patients participated in the observational study. Our model was evaluated against different time windows. The best performance was achieved with an AUC of 0.914 when the observation window was 5 days and the prediction window was 30 days. Outperformed other baseline models including LR (0.708), RF (0.717), SVM (0.675), LSTM (0.757), GRU (0.759), GRU-U (0.766) and MTSSP (0.770). This tool allows us to predict the expected pathway of heart failure patients and intervene early in the treatment process, which has significant implications for improving the life expectancy of heart failure patients.

Authors

  • Meikun Ma
    College of Information and Computer, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan, 030024, China.
  • Xiaoyan Hao
    College of Information and Computer, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan, 030024, China.
  • Jumin Zhao
    College of Information and Computer, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China.
  • Shijie Luo
    College of Information and Computer, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan, 030024, China.
  • Yi Liu
    Department of Interventional Therapy, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China.
  • Dengao Li
    Technology Research Center of Spatial Information Network Engineering of Shanxi, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China.