A Horizon Scan to Support Chemical Pollution-Related Policymaking for Sustainable and Climate-Resilient Economies.

Journal: Environmental toxicology and chemistry
PMID:

Abstract

While chemicals are vital to modern society through materials, agriculture, textiles, new technology, medicines, and consumer goods, their use is not without risks. Unfortunately, our resources seem inadequate to address the breadth of chemical challenges to the environment and human health. Therefore, it is important we use our intelligence and knowledge wisely to prepare for what lies ahead. The present study used a Delphi-style approach to horizon-scan future chemical threats that need to be considered in the setting of chemicals and environmental policy, which involved a multidisciplinary, multisectoral, and multinational panel of 25 scientists and practitioners (mainly from the United Kingdom, Europe, and other industrialized nations) in a three-stage process. Fifteen issues were shortlisted (from a nominated list of 48), considered by the panel to hold global relevance. The issues span from the need for new chemical manufacturing (including transitioning to non-fossil-fuel feedstocks); challenges from novel materials, food imports, landfills, and tire wear; and opportunities from artificial intelligence, greater data transparency, and the weight-of-evidence approach. The 15 issues can be divided into three classes: new perspectives on historic but insufficiently appreciated chemicals/issues, new or relatively new products and their associated industries, and thinking through approaches we can use to meet these challenges. Chemicals are one threat among many that influence the environment and human health, and interlinkages with wider issues such as climate change and how we mitigate these were clear in this exercise. The horizon scan highlights the value of thinking broadly and consulting widely, considering systems approaches to ensure that interventions appreciate synergies and avoid harmful trade-offs in other areas. We recommend further collaboration between researchers, industry, regulators, and policymakers to perform horizon scanning to inform policymaking, to develop our ability to meet these challenges, and especially to extend the approach to consider also concerns from countries with developing economies. Environ Toxicol Chem 2023;42:1212-1228. © 2023 Crown copyright and The Authors. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of SETAC. This article is published with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and the King's Printer for Scotland.

Authors

  • Christopher Green
    Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs, Chemicals, Pesticides and Hazardous Wastes Team, London, United Kingdom.
  • Antoaneta Bilyanska
    Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs, Chemicals, Pesticides and Hazardous Wastes Team, London, United Kingdom.
  • Mags Bradley
    Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs, Chemicals, Pesticides and Hazardous Wastes Team, London, United Kingdom.
  • Jason Dinsdale
    Horizon Scanning & Futures Team, Environment Agency, Horizon House, Bristol, United Kingdom.
  • Lorraine Hutt
    Environment Agency, Horizon House, Bristol, United Kingdom.
  • Thomas Backhaus
    Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
  • Frank Boons
    IMP Innovation, Strategy and Sustainability, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
  • David Bott
    Head of Innovation, SCI, London, United Kingdom.
  • Chris Collins
    Department of Geography and Environmental Science, Soil Research Centre, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom.
  • Sarah E Cornell
    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Mark Craig
    Severn Trent Water, Darlington, United Kingdom.
  • Michael Depledge
    European Centre for Environment and Human Health, University of Exeter Medical School, Royal Cornwall Hospital, Truro, Cornwall, United Kingdom.
  • Bob Diderich
    Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris, France.
  • Richard Fuller
    Pure Earth, New York, New York, USA.
  • Tamara S Galloway
    College of Life and Environmental Sciences: Biosciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom.
  • Gary R Hutchison
    School of Applied Sciences, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
  • Nicola Ingrey
    Landfill and Resources from Waste Team, Environment Agency, Bristol, United Kingdom.
  • Andrew C Johnson
    UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Maclean Building, Benson Lane, Crowmarsh Gifford, Wallingford, Oxfordshire OX10 8BB, United Kingdom.
  • Rachael Kupka
    The Global Alliance on Health and Pollution, Geneva, Switzerland.
  • Peter Matthiessen
    The Manse, St. Dogmaels, Pembrokeshire, United Kingdom.
  • Robin Oliver
    Syngenta Crop Protection, Jealotts Hill Research Station, Bracknell, United Kingdom.
  • Stewart Owen
    AstraZeneca, Global Sustainability, Brixham, Devon, United Kingdom.
  • Susan Owens
    Newnham College, Cambridge University, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
  • John Pickett
    School of Chemistry, Cardiff University, Cardiff, United Kingdom.
  • Sam Robinson
    School of History, University of Kent, Canterbury, United Kingdom.
  • Kerry Sims
    Chemical Strategic & Regulatory Planning Team, Environment Agency, Bristol, United Kingdom.
  • Pete Smith
    Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom.
  • John P Sumpter
    Institute of Environment, Health and Societies, College of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, Middlesex UB8 3PH, United Kingdom(.). Electronic address: john.sumpter@brunel.ac.uk.
  • Svetlana Tretsiakova-McNally
    Belfast School of Architecture and the Built Environment, Ulster University, Newtownabbey, United Kingdom.
  • Mengjiao Wang
    Greenpeace Research Laboratories, Innovation Centre Phase 2, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom.
  • Tom Welton
    Department of Chemistry, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
  • Katherine J Willis
    Department of Zoology, Long-Term Ecology Laboratory, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
  • Iseult Lynch
    School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK.