Machine learning approach for the development of a crucial tool in suicide prevention: The Suicide Crisis Inventory-2 (SCI-2) Short Form.

Journal: PloS one
PMID:

Abstract

The Suicide Crisis Syndrome (SCS) describes a suicidal mental state marked by entrapment, affective disturbance, loss of cognitive control, hyperarousal, and social withdrawal that has predictive capacity for near-term suicidal behavior. The Suicide Crisis Inventory-2 (SCI-2), a reliable clinical tool that assesses SCS, lacks a short form for use in clinical settings which we sought to address with statistical analysis. To address this need, a community sample of 10,357 participants responded to an anonymous survey after which predictive performance for suicidal ideation (SI) and SI with preparatory behavior (SI-P) was measured using logistic regression, random forest, and gradient boosting algorithms. Four-fold cross-validation was used to split the dataset in 1,000 iterations. We compared rankings to the SCI-Short Form to inform the short form of the SCI-2. Logistic regression performed best in every analysis. The SI results were used to build the SCI-2-Short Form (SCI-2-SF) utilizing the two top ranking items from each SCS criterion. SHAP analysis of the SCI-2 resulted in meaningful rankings of its items. The SCI-2-SF, derived from these rankings, will be tested for predictive validity and utility in future studies.

Authors

  • Gabriele P De Luca
    Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine and Psychology, University of Rome Sapienza, Rome, Italy.
  • Neelang Parghi
    Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University, New York City, New York, USA.
  • Rawad El Hayek
    Department of Psychiatry, Mount Sinai Beth Israel, New York City, New York, United States of America.
  • Sarah Bloch-Elkouby
    Department of Psychiatry, Mount Sinai Beth Israel, New York City, New York, United States of America.
  • Devon Peterkin
    Department of Psychiatry, Mount Sinai Beth Israel, New York City, New York, United States of America.
  • Amber Wolfe
    Department of Psychiatry, Mount Sinai Beth Israel, New York City, New York, United States of America.
  • Megan L Rogers
    Department of Psychology, Texas State University, San Marcos, Texas, United States of America.
  • Igor Galynker
    Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Health, Mount Sinai Beth Israel Medical Center, New York City, New York, USA.