Explainable deep learning-based survival prediction for non-small cell lung cancer patients undergoing radical radiotherapy.

Journal: Radiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology
Published Date:

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Survival is frequently assessed using Cox proportional hazards (CPH) regression; however, CPH may be too simplistic as it assumes a linear relationship between covariables and the outcome. Alternative, non-linear machine learning (ML)-based approaches, such as random survival forests (RSFs) and, more recently, deep learning (DL) have been proposed; however, these techniques are largely black-box in nature, limiting explainability. We compared CPH, RSF and DL to predict overall survival (OS) of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients receiving radiotherapy using pre-treatment covariables. We employed explainable techniques to provide insights into the contribution of each covariable on OS prediction.

Authors

  • Joshua R Astley
    POLARIS, Department of Infection, Immunity & Cardiovascular Disease, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
  • James M Reilly
    Division of Clinical Medicine, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
  • Stephen Robinson
    Division of Clinical Medicine, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
  • Jim M Wild
    Department of Oncology and Metabolism, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
  • Matthew Q Hatton
    Department of Oncology and Metabolism, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
  • Bilal A Tahir
    POLARIS, Department of Infection, Immunity & Cardiovascular Disease, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.