Developing a machine learning model with enhanced performance for predicting COVID-19 from patients presenting to the emergency room with acute respiratory symptoms.

Journal: IET systems biology
Published Date:

Abstract

Artificial Intelligence is playing a crucial role in healthcare by enhancing decision-making and data analysis, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. This virus affects individuals across all age groups, but its impact is more severe on the elderly and those with underlying health issues like chronic diseases. This study aimed to develop a machine learning model to improve the prediction of COVID-19 in patients with acute respiratory symptoms. Data from 915 patients in two hospitals in Saudi Arabia were used, categorized into four groups based on chronic lung conditions and COVID-19 status. Four supervised machine learning algorithms-Random Forest, Bagging classifier, Decision Tree, and Logistic Regression-were employed to predict COVID-19. Feature selection identified 12 key variables for prediction, including CXR abnormalities, smoking status, and WBC count. The Random Forest model showed the highest accuracy at 99.07%, followed by Decision Tree, Bagging classifier, and Logistic Regression. The study concluded that machine learning algorithms, particularly Random Forest, can effectively predict and classify COVID-19 cases, supporting the development of computer-assisted diagnostic tools in healthcare.

Authors

  • Maha Mesfer Alghamdi
    College of Applied Studies and Community Service, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Naael H Alazwary
    Department of Internal Medicine, Security Forces Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Waleed A Alsowayan
    Department of Internal Medicine, Security Forces Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Mohmmed Algamdi
    Critical Care Service Administration, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Ahmed F Alohali
    Critical Care Service Administration, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Mustafa A Yasawy
    Critical Care Service Administration, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Abeer M Alghamdi
    Department of Cardiac Surgery-King Salman Heart Centre, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Abdullah M Alassaf
    Department of Internal Medicine, Security Forces Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Mohammed R Alshehri
    Department of Internal Medicine, Security Forces Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Hussein A Aljaziri
    Critical Care Service Administration, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Nujoud H Almoqati
    Critical Care Service Administration, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Shatha S Alghamdi
    Critical Care Service Administration, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Norah A Bin Magbel
    Critical Care Service Administration, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Tareq A AlMazeedi
    Critical Care Service Administration, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Nashaat K Neyazi
    Critical Care Service Administration, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Mona M Alghamdi
    Department of General Surgery, Ministry of National Guard Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
  • Mohammed N Alazwary
    Aviation Medical Center, Aviation Medicine, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.