Predicting mental health problems in adolescence using machine learning techniques.

Journal: PloS one
PMID:

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Predicting which children will go on to develop mental health symptoms as adolescents is critical for early intervention and preventing future, severe negative outcomes. Although many aspects of a child's life, personality, and symptoms have been flagged as indicators, there is currently no model created to screen the general population for the risk of developing mental health problems. Additionally, the advent of machine learning techniques represents an exciting way to potentially improve upon the standard prediction modelling technique, logistic regression. Therefore, we aimed to I.) develop a model that can predict mental health problems in mid-adolescence II.) investigate if machine learning techniques (random forest, support vector machines, neural network, and XGBoost) will outperform logistic regression.

Authors

  • Ashley E Tate
    Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Ryan C McCabe
    Spotify, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Henrik Larsson
    Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Sebastian Lundström
    Centre for Ethics, Law and Mental Health (CELAM), University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
  • Paul Lichtenstein
    Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Ralf Kuja-Halkola
    Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.