Machine learning-based model for predicting 1 year mortality of hospitalized patients with heart failure.

Journal: ESC heart failure
Published Date:

Abstract

AIMS: Individual risk stratification is a fundamental strategy in managing patients with heart failure (HF). Artificial intelligence, particularly machine learning (ML), can develop superior models for predicting the prognosis of HF patients, and administrative claim data (ACD) are suitable for ML analysis because ACD is a structured database. The objective of this study was to analyse ACD using an ML algorithm, predict the 1 year mortality of patients with HF, and finally develop an easy-to-use prediction model with high accuracy using the top predictors identified by the ML algorithm.

Authors

  • Takeshi Tohyama
    Center for Clinical and Translational Research of Kyushu University Hospital, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan.
  • Tomomi Ide
    Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan.
  • Masataka Ikeda
    Department of Surgery, National Hospital Organization, Osaka National Hospital, Osaka City, Osaka, Japan.
  • Hidetaka Kaku
    Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan.
  • Nobuyuki Enzan
    Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan.
  • Shouji Matsushima
    Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan.
  • Kouta Funakoshi
    Center for Clinical and Translational Research of Kyushu University Hospital, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan.
  • Junji Kishimoto
    Center for Clinical and Translational Research of Kyushu University Hospital, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan.
  • Koji Todaka
    Center for Clinical and Translational Research of Kyushu University Hospital, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan.
  • Hiroyuki Tsutsui
    Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan.