AIMC Topic: Causality

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Decomposing predictability to identify dominant causal drivers in complex ecosystems.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Ecosystems are complex systems of various physical, biological, and chemical processes. Since ecosystem dynamics are composed of a mixture of different levels of stochasticity and nonlinearity, handling these data is a challenge for existing methods ...

Surgery duration: Optimized prediction and causality analysis.

PloS one
Accurate estimation of duration of surgery (DOS) can lead to cost-effective utilization of surgical staff and operating rooms and decrease patients' waiting time. In this study, we present a supervised DOS nonlinear regression prediction model whose ...

A structural characterization of shortcut features for prediction.

European journal of epidemiology
With the rising use of machine learning for healthcare applications, practitioners are increasingly confronted with the limitations of prediction models that are trained in one setting but meant to be deployed in several others. One recently identifi...

Nonparametric estimation of the causal effect of a stochastic threshold-based intervention.

Biometrics
Identifying a biomarker or treatment-dose threshold that marks a specified level of risk is an important problem, especially in clinical trials. In view of this goal, we consider a covariate-adjusted threshold-based interventional estimand, which hap...

Chemical property prediction under experimental biases.

Scientific reports
Predicting the chemical properties of compounds is crucial in discovering novel materials and drugs with specific desired characteristics. Recent significant advances in machine learning technologies have enabled automatic predictive modeling from pa...

Mining human preference via self-correction causal structure learning.

Scientific reports
Spurred by causal structure learning (CSL) ability to reveal the cause-effect connection, significant research efforts have been made to enhance the scalability of CSL algorithms in various artificial intelligence applications. However, less effort h...

State of the Art Causal Inference in the Presence of Extraneous Covariates: A Simulation Study.

AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium
The central task of causal inference is to remove (via statistical adjustment) confounding bias that would be present in naive unadjusted comparisons of outcomes in different treatment groups. Statistical adjustment can roughly be broken down into tw...

Predictive and Causal Analysis of No-Shows for Medical Exams During COVID-19: A Case Study of Breast Imaging in a Nationwide Israeli Health Organization.

AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium
"No-shows", defined as missed appointments or late cancellations, is a central problem in healthcare systems. It has appeared to intensify during the COVID-19 pandemic and the nonpharmaceutical interventions, such as closures, taken to slow its sprea...

Evaluating the robustness of targeted maximum likelihood estimators via realistic simulations in nutrition intervention trials.

Statistics in medicine
Several recently developed methods have the potential to harness machine learning in the pursuit of target quantities inspired by causal inference, including inverse weighting, doubly robust estimating equations and substitution estimators like targe...

Robust Machine Learning for Treatment Effects in Multilevel Observational Studies Under Cluster-level Unmeasured Confounding.

Psychometrika
Recently, machine learning (ML) methods have been used in causal inference to estimate treatment effects in order to reduce concerns for model mis-specification. However, many ML methods require that all confounders are measured to consistently estim...