Tailoring nonsurgical therapy for elderly patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: A deep learning-based approach.

Journal: Medicine
PMID:

Abstract

To assess deep learning models for personalized chemotherapy selection and quantify the impact of baseline characteristics on treatment efficacy for elderly head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients who are not surgery candidates. A comparison was made between patients whose treatments aligned with model recommendations and those whose did not, using overall survival as the primary metric. Bias was addressed through inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW), and the impact of patient characteristics on treatment choice was analyzed via mixed-effects regression. Four thousand two hundred seventy-six elderly HNSCC patients in total met the inclusion criteria. Self-Normalizing Balanced individual treatment effect for survival data model performed best in treatment recommendation (IPTW-adjusted hazard ratio: 0.74, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-0.87; IPTW-adjusted risk difference: 9.92%, 95% CI, 4.96-14.90; IPTW-adjusted the difference in restricted mean survival time: 16.42 months, 95% CI, 10.83-21.22), which surpassed other models and National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines. No survival benefit for chemoradiotherapy was seen for patients not recommended to receive this treatment. Self-Normalizing Balanced individual treatment effect for survival data model effectively identifies elderly HNSCC patients who could benefit from chemoradiotherapy, offering personalized survival predictions and treatment recommendations. The practical application will become a reality with further validation in clinical settings.

Authors

  • Yang Li
    Occupation of Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
  • Qinyu Xiao
    Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Zhejiang, China.
  • Haiqi Chen
    Department of Oncology, Dongying District Hospital, Dongying, Shandong, China.
  • Enzhao Zhu
    School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
  • Xin Wang
    Key Laboratory of Bio-based Material Science & Technology (Northeast Forestry University), Ministry of Education, Harbin 150040, China.
  • Jianmeng Dai
    School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
  • Xu Zhang
    China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China.
  • Qiuyi Lu
    School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
  • Yanming Zhu
    School of Computer Science and Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia.
  • Guangliang Yang
    Department of Oncology, Dongying District Hospital, Dongying, Shandong, China.