Deep Learning to Optimize Candidate Selection for Lung Cancer CT Screening: Advancing the 2021 USPSTF Recommendations.

Journal: Radiology
Published Date: Jun 14, 2022

Abstract

Background A deep learning (DL) model to identify lung cancer screening candidates based on their chest radiographs requires external validation with a recent real-world non-U.S. sample. Purpose To validate the DL model and identify added benefits to the 2021 U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommendations in a health check-up sample. Materials and Methods This single-center retrospective study included consecutive current and former smokers aged 50-80 years who underwent chest radiography during a health check-up between January 2004 and June 2018. Discrimination performance, including receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) calculation, of the model for incident lung cancers was evaluated. The added value of the model to the 2021 USPSTF recommendations was investigated for lung cancer inclusion rate, proportion of selected CT screening candidates, and positive predictive value (PPV). Results For model validation, a total of 19 488 individuals (mean age, 58 years ± 6 [SD]; 18 467 [95%] men) and the subset of USPSTF-eligible individuals ( = 7835; mean age, 57 years ± 6; 7699 [98%] men) were assessed, and the AUCs for incident lung cancers were 0.68 (95% CI: 0.62, 0.73) and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.81), respectively. In individuals with pack-year information ( = 17 390), when excluding low- and indeterminate-risk categories from the USPSTF-eligible sample, the proportion of selected CT screening candidates was reduced to 35.8% (6233 of 17 390) from 45.1% (7835 of 17 390, < .001), with three missed lung cancers (0.2%). The cancer inclusion rate (0.3% [53 of 17 390] vs 0.3% [56 of 17 390], = .85) and PPV (0.9% [53 of 6233] vs 0.7% [56 of 7835], = .42) remained unaffected. Conclusion An externally validated deep learning model showed the added value to the 2021 U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommendations for low-dose CT lung cancer screening in reducing the number of screening candidates while maintaining the inclusion rate and positive predictive value for incident lung cancer. © RSNA, 2022

Authors

  • Jong Hyuk Lee
    From the Department of Radiology and Institute of Radiation Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital and College of Medicine, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul 03080, Republic of Korea (J.G.N., E.J.H., J.M.G., C.M.P.); Lunit Incorporated, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.P.); Department of Radiology, Armed Forces Seoul Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (J.H.L.); Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea (K.N.J.); Department of Radiology, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Republic of Korea (K.Y.L.); Department of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, Calif (T.H.V., J.H.S.); and Department of Industrial & Information Systems Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.H.).
  • Dongheon Lee
    Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering, Graduate School, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea.
  • Michael T Lu
    Cardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston.
  • Vineet K Raghu
    Department of Computer Science, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
  • Chang Min Park
    Department of Radiology, Seoul National College of Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Korea (H.C., S.H.Y., S.J.P., C.M.P., J.H.L., H. Kim, E.J.H., S.J.Y., J.G.N., C.H.L., J.M.G.); CHESS Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China (Q.X., J.L.); Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Korea (K.H.L.); Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon Medical Center, Incheon, Korea (J.Y.K.); Department of Radiology, Seoul Medical Center, Seoul, Korea (Y.K.L.); Department of Radiology, National Medical Center, Seoul, Korea (H. Ko); Department of Radiology, Myongji Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Korea (K.H.K.); and Department of Radiology, Chonnam National University Hospital, Gwanju, Korea (Y.H.K.).
  • Jin Mo Goo
    Department of Radiology, Seoul National College of Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Korea (H.C., S.H.Y., S.J.P., C.M.P., J.H.L., H. Kim, E.J.H., S.J.Y., J.G.N., C.H.L., J.M.G.); CHESS Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China (Q.X., J.L.); Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Korea (K.H.L.); Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon Medical Center, Incheon, Korea (J.Y.K.); Department of Radiology, Seoul Medical Center, Seoul, Korea (Y.K.L.); Department of Radiology, National Medical Center, Seoul, Korea (H. Ko); Department of Radiology, Myongji Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Korea (K.H.K.); and Department of Radiology, Chonnam National University Hospital, Gwanju, Korea (Y.H.K.).
  • Seung Ho Choi
    Department of Electronic and IT Media Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Seoul 139-743, Korea.
  • Hyungjin Kim
    Department of Radiology, Seoul National College of Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Korea (H.C., S.H.Y., S.J.P., C.M.P., J.H.L., H. Kim, E.J.H., S.J.Y., J.G.N., C.H.L., J.M.G.); CHESS Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China (Q.X., J.L.); Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Korea (K.H.L.); Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon Medical Center, Incheon, Korea (J.Y.K.); Department of Radiology, Seoul Medical Center, Seoul, Korea (Y.K.L.); Department of Radiology, National Medical Center, Seoul, Korea (H. Ko); Department of Radiology, Myongji Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Korea (K.H.K.); and Department of Radiology, Chonnam National University Hospital, Gwanju, Korea (Y.H.K.).

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