Smooth Bayesian network model for the prediction of future high-cost patients with COPD.
Journal:
International journal of medical informatics
Published Date:
Jun 1, 2019
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: The clinical course of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is marked by acute exacerbation events that increase hospitalization rates and healthcare spending. The early identification of future high-cost patients with COPD may decrease healthcare spending by informing individualized interventions that prevent exacerbation events and decelerate disease progression. Existing studies of cost prediction of other chronic diseases have applied regression and machine-learning methods that cannot capture the complex causal relationships between COPD factors. Thus, the exploration of these factors through nonlinear, high-dimensional but explainable modeling is greatly needed.